The Computomatix Times

A computer science student built a working simulator that lets you test your own Polymarket strategies using real historical data and released it on GitHub for free…

This is a ready to use tool based on the largest dataset of 1.1 billion Polymarket trades.

Here is how you can use it for your trading:

This simulator takes all past markets, analyzes how they behaved from open to close and applies your own strategy to them. As a result, it calculates the potential Pnl and accuracy as if u had actually made those trades yourself.

Lets imagine, while trading, you have noticed a pattern: All movie markets are less volatile and often have a clear winner right from the start (with the highest % probability) - just an example!

But how could u actually test this pattern right now without risking real money? - thats exactly where backtesting comes in…

So, you take your strategy, lets say - Always buy the most probable outcome at market open, but only in movie markets.

Then, the simulator analyzes all movie markets that have ever existed up to today, applies your strategy to them and shows you the accuracy. Based on that, u can decide whether its actually worth using for your future trades.

This way you can test hundreds of strategies like that without risking any money.

GitHub: github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-back…