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Greg Isenberg Lists Opportunities in AI Agent Startups

Greg Isenberg lists over 30 observations on AI agent opportunities, including MCP servers for agent buyers, agent layers for franchises, agent marketplaces and memory as a moat.

Original post · 9 min read
My 30+ observations on the greatest opportunities in AI agents right now:

And some ideas that are keeping me up at night.

1. The new buyer on the internet is an AI agent. Imagine billions of new customers showing up with money to spend but they only shop via MCP. That's what's happening. No MCP server means you're invisible to the fastest growing buyer on the internet.

2. Every franchise system in America (30,000+) needs an agent layer and none of them have one. One founder per franchise vertical. That's 30,000 businesses waiting.

3. Everyone said "distribution is the only moat" a year ago. Now I'd add that the only moat is distribution plus memory. The company that has your audience AND your agent's accumulated context is impossible to leave.

4. Consumer mobile is more interesting than it's been since 2012. Apps can finally DO things for you instead of showing you things. The next wave of $100M apps are being built right now.

5. The most interesting startup nobody has built is an agent marketplace where you rent access to someone else's trained agent. A recruiter spent 6 months training a sourcing agent on healthcare hiring. That agent is worth renting to every other healthcare recruiter on earth. The agent itself becomes the product.

6. A sorta strange phenomenon that's happening right now is agents are developing preferences. Give the same agent the same task 100 times and it starts developing patterns in how it approaches it. Nobody is studying this yet. But the agents that develop good patterns are worth more than the ones that don't. That's a new kind of asset.

7. Dead internet theory is about to become dead SaaS theory. Half the apps you use will quietly replace their support team, their onboarding team, and their content team with agents. You won't notice for months. Then you'll realize you haven't talked to a human at that company in a year.

8. The most valuable data in the world right now is sitting in the support tickets of small or mid tier SaaS companies. Every ticket is a customer telling you exactly what to build next. Mine this.

9. The most interesting pricing problem nobody has solved is how do you price a product when your costs change every time OpenAI or Anthropic updates their model pricing? Your margins can swing 40% overnight based on a decision made in San Francisco. The company that builds dynamic pricing infrastructure for agent-based businesses solves a problem every AI company has.

10. The best AI products feel like they're reading your mind. The worst ones feel like filling out a form with extra steps.

11. An interesting arbitrage I've noticed lately is hiring a human VA for $20/hour to supervise an AI agent that does $200/hour work. The human just checks the output.

12. The managed AI agent business is becoming the new agency model. $5k/month per client. You build it, run it, maintain it. The client gets a digital employee they never have to think about. This will be a $50 B+ category.

13. The first "shadow agent" scandals are about to drop. Employees running personal agents on company infrastructure without telling anyone. Using company API keys. Agents accessing internal docs. IT departments have little visibility into this right now. Lots of opportunity to build companies here. Definitely a painkiller not a vitamin type of business.

14. Right now there are probably millions of agents running on autopilot that their creators forgot about. Still burning tokens. Still sending emails. Still scraping websites. Still costing money. The "find and kill your zombie agents" tool is a product that writes itself.

15. Companies are starting to hire based on someone's agent portfolio instead of their resume. "Show me 3 agents you built that are running right now." It's REALLY early but it's starting.

16. Your Slack archive is a product. Every company's internal Slack has thousands of messages explaining how they actually do things. The company that lets you point an agent at your Slack history and auto-generate SOPs and agents from it will be enormous.

17. We're watching the cost of intelligence fall faster than the cost of distribution. Which means distribution is now the expensive thing.

18. The most underrated asset a human can have in 2026: the ability to sit in a room with another human, make eye contact, and have a real conversation. As AI handles more of the transactional stuff, the humans who can do the relational stuff become disproportionately valuable. The soft skills people used to dismiss as fluffy are becoming the hard skills. The hard skills people spent decades acquiring are becoming the soft ones.

19. There are MANY huge companies to be built around the fact that most people's agents are running on their personal laptops which they also use to browse the internet, check email, and download random files. The attack surface is enormous. One compromised Chrome extension and your agent's API keys, customer data, and workflows are exposed.

20. There's a new type of burnout forming that doesn't have a name. It's not from working too hard. It's from context switching between human work and agent work 50 times a day. Reviewing agent output, correcting it, approving it, reviewing again. The mental load of supervising agents is different from the mental load of doing the work yourself. Some founders are telling me they were less tired when they did everything manually because at least the cognitive pattern was consistent.

21. The cheapest form of market research: search "[your industry] spreadsheet template" on Google. Whatever people are tracking manually is your product.

22. Half the YC companies pivoted within 8 weeks of demo day. Not because they failed. Because agents let them test 5 ideas in the time it used to take to test one. The concept of "committing to an idea" is dissolving. Serial pivoting is becoming the default because 1) AI lets you move fast 2) the world is moving fast.

23. The loneliest job in tech right now is being the only person at your company who understands what the agents are doing. You can't explain it to your boss. You can't hand it off to a colleague. If you leave, everything breaks. You've become a single point of failure for an entire automated system. That person needs a title, a team, and a backup plan. Most companies haven't figured this out yet.

24. Your browser history is the most valuable training data you own and you're giving it away for free. Every site you visit, every product you research, every competitor you study, every pricing page you screenshot. That behavioral data, structured and fed to an agent, would make it understand your business better than any onboarding call. The company that lets you turn your browser history into agent context builds something nobody can replicate.

25. Everyone is building AI wrappers. Nobody is building AI unwrappers. The tool that takes an AI-generated document and tells you which parts a human wrote and which parts were generated.

26. Stripe just became the most important company in the agent economy and they barely had to do anything. Every agent that sells something needs Stripe. Every agent that buys something needs Stripe. They're the payment rail for the entire agentic internet by default.

27. The most undervalued API in the world right now is the US Postal Service address verification API. It's practically free. Every local business lead gen agent needs it. Every real estate agent needs it. Every direct mail agent needs it. Boring government infrastructure is quietly becoming the backbone of agent-native businesses.

28. The concept of "business hours" is for humans. Your agent closed a deal in Tokyo at 3am, processed the payment, sent the onboarding email, and updated the CRM before your alarm went off.

29. What happens when agents start recommending other agents? Your research agent finds that a competitor's sales agent is better and suggests you switch. Agent referral networks are forming organically. The first agent affiliate program is probably 6 months away.

30. Cal dotcom closed their source code. That's the canary. When open source companies start closing up, it means agents were cloning their product too easily. Every open source company is quietly asking the same question right now.

31. "AI for pet groomers" sounds like a joke and that's exactly why it will work. 150,000 of them in America. Zero tech. All scheduling by phone or IG DMs. The joke ideas always win.

32. The thing that will seem most obvious in hindsight: we spent 2025-2026 arguing about which model is best while the entire value was in the orchestration layer. The model is the CPU. Nobody buys a computer based on the CPU anymore. They buy it based on what they can do with it. Makes so much sense in hindsight. What else will be obvious in hindsight?

I'll share more notes soon.

I can't sleep with all that's going on. Maybe you too.

What an incredible time to be building.
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More in Startups & Products

NSF America's Seed Fund Reopens With Up to $1.55M in Grants

NSF America's Seed Fund Reopens With Up to $1.55M in Grants

Ksenia Moskalenko reports that the NSF America's Seed Fund has reopened after reauthorization, offering non-dilutive funding up to $1.55M across three tracks. The post lists eligibility rules, a 3-page pitch step, and a November 4 full-proposal deadline.

Original post · 1 min read
The US government will give your startup up to $1.55M and take 0% equity.

@NSF's America's Seed Fund is open again after Congress reauthorized it in April.

Three tracks:
- Phase I: up to $305K to prove the idea
- Phase II: up to $1.25M to build it
- Fast-Track: up to $1.55M, both phases in one go

Who can apply:
- US-based startups with 500 or fewer employees
- 51%+ owned by US citizens or permanent residents
- Not majority owned by VCs
- All the work done in the US

How it works:
- Send a 3-page Project Pitch first
- NSF invites the best ones to submit a full proposal
- Next full proposal deadline: Nov 4

Phase I funding rates have run about 10 to 20%. It's work, but nobody takes your cap table.

Application link 👉 seedfund.nsf.gov

Bookmark and tag a tech founder who needs this.
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Nous Research Raises $90 Million at $1.5 Billion Valuation for Hermes Agent

Nikhil Pahwa congratulates Nous Research on a reported $90 million raise at a $1.5 billion valuation after its open-source Hermes agent was downloaded 22.7 million times, with about $36 million in annualized revenue by mid-September.

Original post · 1 min read
Well deserved! Congrats @NousResearch @Teknium @Kshitijjkapoor . You've built something amazing here. Thank you!
Choblin @choblin29
🚨BREAKING: Nous Research has raised $90 million at a $1.5 billion valuation after its open-source Hermes agent exploded in usage.

Hermes has been downloaded 22.7 million times since February.

Nous was at roughly $36 million in annualized revenue by mid-September. It expects to pass $100 million later this year.
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Anthropic Expands Claude Startups Program to More Founders

Anthropic Expands Claude Startups Program to More Founders▶

Claude announces that its Startups program is expanding, offering members a year of Claude Team, API credits, partner tool offers and office hours with Anthropic's Applied AI team. The announcement includes a video.

Original post · 1 min read
The Claude Startups program is expanding to more founders.

Members can get a year of Claude Team, API credits, special offers on the tools a startup runs on, and office hours with Anthropic’s Applied AI team.
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Andreessen Horowitz Maps Where Startups Can Win in Consumer AI

Andreessen Horowitz Maps Where Startups Can Win in Consumer AI

Olivia Moore shares an a16z map identifying search, creative tools and productivity as areas where early consumer AI winners are emerging, while social, marketplaces, travel, finance and other categories remain open.

Original post · 1 min read
Where can startups win in consumer AI?

We @a16z mapped out where we see early winners - search, creative tools, productivity 👇

We're still waiting for winners everywhere else - social, marketplaces, travel, finance, hiring, dating, gaming, media, and more
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Qatar Offers Up to $5.5 Million to Lure Startups to Doha

Qatar Offers Up to $5.5 Million to Lure Startups to Doha

Aakash Gupta analyzes the Startup Qatar Investment Program, backed by Qatar Development Bank, which offers equity checks up to $5.5M with mandatory relocation, comparing it to Singapore's 1960s incentive playbook and noting retention as the open challenge. He quotes Suraj Sharma's summary of the two tracks and perks.

Original post · 2 min read
Qatar's entire startup ecosystem raised $11M in venture capital in 2023. This new program writes single checks of $5.5M. One company can now land half the country's annual VC flow just by agreeing to move to Doha.

Here's the mechanism underneath it. Cities with real startup density charge you to be there. San Francisco collects it in rent, New York collects it in salaries, and founders pay gladly because the customers, talent, and capital are all within a mile. Cities without that density have to run the trade in reverse. They pay you.

So the $5.5M is Doha putting a price on the network effects it doesn't have yet.

The regional race explains the urgency. Saudi Arabia pulled in $1.4B of venture funding in 2023, 52% of all MENA. The UAE led the region in deal count. Qatar took 6% of deals. In a three-country contest for Gulf tech, third place pays cash.

The structure shows how targeted this is. It's equity, drawn from a $100M fund managed by Qatar Development Bank, disbursed on milestones, and relocation is mandatory. A $100M fund writing checks up to $5.5M caps out around 18 companies at the top track. They're running an auction for a few dozen anchor startups, and the visas and subsidized housing exist to tip founders who are already indifferent between Gulf cities.

This playbook has worked before. Singapore's Economic Development Board spent the late 1960s paying companies to show up, and Texas Instruments went from decision to production in Singapore in about 50 days in 1968. GDP per capita there was around $500 at the time. Today it's roughly $90,000.

The unsolved part is retention. Checks get companies to land. Density is what makes them stay, and density only arrives after enough checks pile up in the same place at the same time. Singapore cleared that threshold. Qatar is betting $100M it can too.
Suraj Sharma @suraj_sharma14
Up to $5.5M to move your startup to Qatar.

Just an MVP gets you in the door.

The Startup Qatar Investment Program (backed by QDB) funds tech startups to launch or expand in Qatar.

Two tracks:
START: up to $1.1M if you have a proof of concept or MVP
GROW: up to $5.5M if you're already established and expanding

What else you get:
- Entrepreneur visa + flexible work visa
- Registration and license fees waived
- Subsidized housing
- Subsidized co-working space
- Access to R&D and innovation grants
- Mentoring, training + help hiring talent and interns
- Your product showcased at exhibitions
…
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Qatar Startup Program Offers Up to $5.5M to Tech Firms Relocating

Qatar Startup Program Offers Up to $5.5M to Tech Firms Relocating

Suraj Sharma shares details of the Startup Qatar Investment Program, backed by QDB, offering up to $1.1M to early-stage startups and up to $5.5M to established firms expanding to Qatar, along with visas, fee waivers and subsidized housing and co-working space. Eligible sectors include AI, fintech and climate tech.

Original post · 1 min read
Up to $5.5M to move your startup to Qatar.

Just an MVP gets you in the door.

The Startup Qatar Investment Program (backed by QDB) funds tech startups to launch or expand in Qatar.

Two tracks:
START: up to $1.1M if you have a proof of concept or MVP
GROW: up to $5.5M if you're already established and expanding

What else you get:
- Entrepreneur visa + flexible work visa
- Registration and license fees waived
- Subsidized housing
- Subsidized co-working space
- Access to R&D and innovation grants
- Mentoring, training + help hiring talent and interns
- Your product showcased at exhibitions

Sectors they want:
- AI & ML, B2B SaaS, FinTech, HealthTech, Cybersecurity, Climate Tech, Robotics + more
- Not on the list? It's open to any innovative startup

Apply link below 👇
startupqatar.qa/en/investment-program

Bookmark this + tag a founder looking for a new market.
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