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The Computomatix Times

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Ramp Becomes One of the Least Competitive Investments for Founders Fund

Ramp Becomes One of the Least Competitive Investments for Founders Fund

Delian of Founders Fund recalls concern in 2019 that Ramp's category was too competitive, and says Ramp steadily dominated over seven years to become one of the firm's least competitive holdings.

Original post · 1 min read
When we invested in Ramp in 2019, one of the biggest concerns we had was whether it was just too competitive of a category

Over the next 7 years, Ramp just steadily dominated, to the point where it's now one of the LEAST competitive categories FF is invested in

Just wild
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Indian Equities Lag Global Peers Since June 2024, Analyst Says

Aviral Bhatnagar compares equity index returns since June 2024, showing Nikkei up 66 percent and Nasdaq up 52 percent while NIFTY is flat, and says dollar depreciation leaves NIFTY down 13 percent in dollar terms.

Original post · 1 min read
Equity indices since Jun 2024 in local currency:

- Nikkei: 66%
- Nasdaq: 52%
- Hang Seng: 40%
- DAX: 40%
- FTSE: 30%
- NIFTY: 0%

Every developed equity market has vastly outperformed India, dollar depreciation makes NIFTY $ returns -13%

Tough time for equity investors
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Gokul Rajaram Argues Utility-Priced Software Faces Greater AI Pressure

Gokul Rajaram endorses a view that utility-priced software companies such as Zendesk are more exposed to AI than systems of record like NetSuite, since AI agents can reduce seat counts and pricing models must shift to outcomes.

Original post · 1 min read
Exactly right. Still true.
Invest Like the Best @InvestLikeBest
Gokul (@gokulr) explains why utility-based software companies like Zendesk are more exposed to AI than systems of record like NetSuite, and why public markets aren't distinguishing between the two:

"The software companies that should be the most worried right now is where they are pricing the product based on utility. Zendesk is a good example.

Instead of paying for 50 Zendesk seats, you can pay for 20 and I can have 30 AI agents sitting next to Zendesk.

For these companies you need to change your pricing model to be based on outcome. It's going to be hard for them to stay public.

The comp…
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Amazon Launches Boomerang Rehiring Push for Former Employees

Gergely Orosz comments on a Business Insider report that Amazon is recruiting former employees, including some it laid off, under a 'Boomerang Reengagement Initiative.' He notes that Amazon's hiring and firing policy was built on not rehiring most departing staff.

Original post · 1 min read
This is strange to see, because Amazon's complete hiring and firing policy has been built on the notion that they do NOT want to re-hire the majority of the people leaving (who are marked as non-regretted attrition, even if they are regretted - incentives!) but hire new instead
Eugene Kim @eugenekim222
New: Amazon wants former employees back — including some it laid off. In one email, a recruiter called the push the “Boomerang Reengagement Initiative.” In another, a recruiter asked whether Amazon’s RTO policy had driven the ex-employee away.

businessinsider.com/amazon-boomerang-hiring-re…
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Rohit Mittal Compares Bending Spoons and Constellation Software Acquisition Models

Rohit Mittal Compares Bending Spoons and Constellation Software Acquisition Models

Rohit Mittal contrasts Bending Spoons and Constellation Software, arguing Bending Spoons' growth is financed on heavy debt while Constellation deleverages quickly. He cites valuation multiples, organic growth declines and interest expense as a share of revenue.

Original post · 1 min read
Bending Spoons vs Constellation Software.

Venture folks are sophisticated about venture investments, but they put all acquirers in the same bucket.

Software company acquirers can look very different depending on:
- who they acquire (types of companies)
- how they grow
- how they generate profits
- how they finance acquisitions
- revenue and profit stability

Bending Spoons has completed 50 acquisitions, while Constellation has acquired 1,400 companies.

Bending Spoons is trading at 19x FY25 sales, while Constellation trades at 3.8x.

Bending Spoons is growing at 100%+ with acquisitions, while Constellation is growing at 20%.

But they are both growing 3%-5% organically.

Bending Spoons' organic rate has halved two quarters in a row (13% → 6% → 3%).

Bending Spoons carries roughly 8–10x more debt relative to revenue than Constellation.

Bending Spoons has a much higher net debt-to-revenue ratio at 3.1x, while Constellation is at 0.2x- 0.4x.

For Bending Spoons, interest expense is 11% of revenue, while for Constellation, it's 2.6%.

Constellation can deleverage quickly, while Bending Spoons needs the next deal to pay for the previous deal.

Overall, Bending Spoons' growth is bought on credit.

Each company took a different approach to compounding revenue and cash flows, and the valuations will eventually reflect that.
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Mostly Borrowed Ideas Makes the Case for Meta Enterprise Platform

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Makes the Case for Meta Enterprise Platform

Mostly Borrowed Ideas argues in a deep dive that Meta's newly announced Enterprise Platform leverages the company's strengths. The post links to the full analysis on the publication's site.

Original post · 1 min read
The Case for $META Enterprise Platform

full piece: mbi-deepdives.com/meta-enterprise/
mbi-deepdives.comThe Case for Meta Enterprise PlatformMeta seems to be announcing something everyday these days. Yesterday, the company announced “Meta Enterprise Platform”. From the official blog post: Meta Enterp
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Sheel Mohnot Says Agents Threaten Expedia and Other OTAs

Sheel Mohnot argues that online travel agencies such as Expedia are especially exposed to agent disintermediation because they do not control inventory and their value lies in comparison and discovery. He responds to a post in which Muse found a direct hotel booking cheaper than OTA options.

Original post · 1 min read
Expedia / OTA's are particularly exposed to agent disintermediation

They don’t control the underlying inventory, the value is in comparison and discovery... but thats what agents do.
Vivek Goyal @Goyal_Vivek
Muse checked hotel website, Expedia, booking and found direct booking is 5-10% cheaper and has free cancellation and found me a $50 hotel credit.. @alexandr_wang
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Half of Instinct's Transaction Volume Comes From Travel, Jerry Capital Notes

Jerry Capital remarks that 50% of Instinct's transaction volume is travel, in reply to a conversation listing its growth metrics. The quoted post cites over $1 billion annual volume, 10% daily growth and matching Opus 5 performance at lower cost.

Original post · 1 min read
50% of Instinct's transaction volume is travel
Patrick OShaughnessy @patrick_oshag
A list of surprising and mind-boggling stats from this conversation:

- $1B+ a year in transaction volume (still invite only)

- Growing 10%+ A DAY and has spent zero dollars on marketing

- 40% of users shared a personal credit card with Instinct within 3 weeks

- Compute demand is doubling roughly every week

- At 5 to 8% daily growth over the months it takes to bring new compute online, Instinct would reach about 100 million users

- On Instinct's own A/B tests, it matches Opus 5 performance at a fraction of the cost

- Noah spends about 40% of his time on compute

- Buying compute at the l…
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Breadth Divergence Recalls 1929 And 1999 As S&P Nears Highs

Breadth Divergence Recalls 1929 And 1999 As S&P Nears Highs

Jason Goepfert reports that the S&P 500 rallied at least 1% to within 1% of a new high while more stocks hit new lows than highs, a pattern he says has occurred only on July 23, 1929 and December 21, 1999. He also notes that few stocks remain in long-term uptrends.

Original post · 1 min read
Look, I know...perma-bear blah blah blah.

But this is crazy stuff.

There are 2 days in history like today, when the S&P 500 $SPY rallied at least 1% to within 1% of a new high, and more of its stocks fell to new lows than highs.

• Jul 23, 1929
• Dec 21, 1999
Jason Goepfert @jasongoepfert
We've never in almost 100 years seen breadth this bad.

The S&P $SPY is knocking on new highs but there are (many) more stocks at lows than highs.

The percentage of stocks in long-term uptrends is plunging.

The only remotely similar setups were January 1973 and November 1999.
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Druckenmiller Says Copper Supply Lags Data Center Demand

Druckenmiller Says Copper Supply Lags Data Center Demand▶

Oguz Erkan quotes Stanley Druckenmiller saying there will be no new copper supply for eight years while data center buildout adds demand. The post notes copper is up 50% over the past year, citing an FT report of an expected 2027 shortfall.

Original post · 1 min read
Stanley Druckenmiller: “We own copper. There is no new supply coming over the next 8 years, and we have a big add-on from the data center buildout.”

Copper is up 50% over the past year.

And we haven’t seen the peak shortage.
unusual_whales @unusual_whales
There is expected to be a big shortfall in copper form 2027, per FT:
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Trung Phan Revisits Citrini's 2028 Memo on Consumer AI Agents

Trung Phan Revisits Citrini's 2028 Memo on Consumer AI Agents

Trung Phan highlights a passage from Citrini's 2028 Memo describing how consumer AI agents could dismantle the economy's rent-extraction layer, such as passive subscriptions and sneaky introductory pricing. He quotes a user whose AI agent got a $250 Delta credit and rebooked a delayed flight.

Original post · 1 min read
The section from Citrini’s 2028 Memo on how consumer AI agents will help users navigate the economy’s “rent-extraction layer” worth a re-read:

“It started out simple enough. Agents removed friction. Subscriptions and memberships that passively renewed despite months of disuse. Introductory pricing that sneakily doubled after the trial period. Each one was rebranded as a hostage situation that agents could negotiate. The average customer lifetime value, the metric the entire subscription economy was built on, distinctly declined.”
Ejaaz @cryptopunk7213
Flight delayed 7 hours - asked Muse to file for compensation. 5 mins later i had $250 credit in my delta account. it even found and rebooked me a new flight.

it just figured everything out. even responded to the support email itself.

shit feels like magic.
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Palmer Luckey Offers Reconciliation With Meta Amid National Need

Palmer Luckey responds to a Meta executive, saying America needs the tech companies to work together and that egos should not get in the way. The exchange follows his earlier post accepting an apology and noting Meta has changed since his 2016 ouster.

Original post · 1 min read
@KTmBoyle I don't know if I can claim forgiveness, but certainly reconciliation!

America needs our companies to work together, and that need is too urgent for egos to get in the way.
Palmer Luckey @PalmerLuckey
Thanks, Boz. Apology accepted.

I am infamously good at holding grudges, but Meta has changed a lot over the past 8 years. The people responsible for my ouster and internal/external smear campaign aren't even around anymore. At some point, the Ship of Theseus has sailed. twitter.com/boztank/status/1841623880609480803
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Alex Mason Predicts Market Decline Based on Midterm Year Pattern

Alex Mason Predicts Market Decline Based on Midterm Year Pattern▶

Alex Mason argues the S&P 500 at record highs is a trap, citing a historical midterm-year pattern of May-to-October declines and current rate, inflation and Iran-war concerns. The post is market speculation promoting his following, with a video quoting a similar prior post.

Original post · 1 min read
This is exactly what I told you would happen.

S&P 500 is at all-time highs, but the real macro support is still far below.

16 out of 17 midterm years proved one thing:

Every pump before the 200 EMA touch ended the same way.

Dump.

Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.

When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.

Turn notifications on.

If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ @AlexMasonCrypto
🚨 S&P 500 JUST ENTERED A 94.1% TRAP

16 out of the last 17 midterm election years, the S&P 500 fell from May to October.

16 out of 17.

That is a 94.1% hit rate.

Some of the worst drops:

1974: -32%
2002: -30%
1962: -21%
1966: -21%
2022: -19%

May → October. Over and over again.

Now look at 2026:

Rate hikes are back on the table.

Inflation just hit its fastest pace in 3 years.

The 10Y yield is above 4.60%.

Mortgage rates are back above 6.5%.

War with Iran is escalating.

And the S&P 500 just hit a new all-time high.

The market gives you strength at the worst possible time.

Midterm y…
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Sheel Mohnot Builds Monthly Trading Bot Buying Worst Mag 7 Stock

Sheel Mohnot Builds Monthly Trading Bot Buying Worst Mag 7 Stock

Sheel Mohnot describes a trading bot that each month buys the Magnificent 7 stock with the worst average rank across 3-, 6-, and 12-month returns. He reports it has outperformed the Mag 7 and the S&P 500 since May 2023, with Meta bought last month and Tesla this month.

Original post · 1 min read
I built a trading bot that buys the “most hated” Mag 7 stock each month.

Ranks by 3-, 6-, and 12-month returns, buys the worst average rank, reruns monthly.

Last month: $META
This month: $TSLA

Since 5/23 (Mag7 coined):
+347% HatedM7
+162% Mag 7
+90% S&P 500
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Amazon Blocks Meta's Muse Agent; Commerce Fight Looms

Amazon Blocks Meta's Muse Agent; Commerce Fight Looms

Rihard Jarc argues Amazon will need to accommodate personal AI agents rather than block them, predicting its ad business could shrink as agents take over discovery. He is responding to a post reporting that Amazon cut off Meta's Muse.

Original post · 1 min read
I understand the first line of thinking that $AMZN doesn't like $META's Muse to shop around, and people starting to use AI agents as the entry point for commerce, but this is the future.

I don't believe $AMZN has a chance of having its own world-dominant personal AI assistant that people would fully transition to. Best case is $AMZN has an endpoint or their own agent that Muse and other personal agents talk to, and not crawl on their websites.

$AMZN's e-commerce business will still do well in the agentic era (but they have to lean into the agentic era, not go away), but their ad business (the part of it that is related to discovery on their website) will probably be worth a lot less as agents take over.
BuccoCapital Bloke @buccocapital
Amazon cuts off Muse.

While I am bullish Meta and Muse, I think many people are overlooking the digital knife fight that’s about to occur

Nobody wants to get commoditized or layered here. Let the games begin
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Mostly Borrowed Ideas Bets More on Meta After Muse Analysis

Mostly Borrowed Ideas says it increased its Meta position after writing a deep-dive arguing Meta's Muse could transform the consumer internet. The author contrasts Meta's valuation with Airbnb's, citing asymmetric upside from Meta's optionality.

Original post · 1 min read
"What really compelled me to make this trade is the asymmetry of the bet. While I believe Airbnb’s stock doesn’t price such “nuclear” risk at all in today’s multiple, Meta’s valuation doesn't give it much credit for the optionality of transforming the consumer internet. The trade was admittedly a bit uncomfortable given my portfolio’s outsized bet on Meta, but on a side-by-side comparison between Meta and Airbnb, it wasn’t a difficult call for me."
Mostly Borrowed Ideas @borrowed_ideas
I wrote a long piece today explaining why I think Muse might profoundly transform the consumer internet. I acted accordingly by betting more on $META

full piece: mbi-deepdives.com/meta-muse/
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Dana White Says Meta Board Meetings Run Nine Hours Plus Dinner

Dana White Says Meta Board Meetings Run Nine Hours Plus Dinner▶

UFC CEO Dana White, who sits on Meta's board, describes full-day board meetings from 9am to 6pm, followed by dinner and about three more hours, spanning two days. He praises Mark Zuckerberg and the other directors. The post also quotes Zuckerberg on AI agents interacting with each other.

Original post · 1 min read
Dana White says Mark Zuckerberg is an animal and reveals Meta board meetings go from 9am to 6pm, dinner, then another three hours, extending into two days

"I'm on the board of Meta and I just got home last night from a Meta board meeting, and it's one of the best decisions I've ever made was when Mark Zuckerberg called me and I said yes to that."

"And you sit in this room, and not only the people that he runs through the room all day, which are some of their high-level employees there, but the rest of the board, you literally have the smartest people in the world trying to tackle problems that are, you know, a whole another level."

"There's levels to life and to business."

"So Zuckerberg is an animal, okay. These board meetings start at nine o'clock in the morning, they go till six, then you go to dinner and it's basically another three hours of the board meeting, right?"

"And every time we'll be in there, you know, two days in the room, and every time I walk out of those board meetings, I'm so fired up and inspired by the other board members and the people who work at Meta."
Fireside Alpha @firesidealpha
Mark Zuckerberg: the whole industry treats AI agents as a single-player game but the real unlock is agents interacting with each other, which Meta has been running internally

"Right now I think most of the industry is thinking about agents as like a single player game, right? It's like you have your agent and you use it."

"And there are going to be all these interesting things that basically you can do by having the agents interact with each other."

"And we already have all these interesting examples internally where people have their agents interacting with each other."

"This isn't, like,…
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Stratechery Weekly Roundup Covers Meta Versus Amazon and GM's CarPlay Shift

2026.39: Begun, the Aggregator Wars Have

Stratechery's weekly roundup for September 21, 2026 highlights Meta versus Amazon in the aggregator wars, General Motors adopting CarPlay, and a profile of a profiler, linking to the full article.

Original post · 1 min read
2026.39: Begun, the Aggregator Wars Have

The best Stratechery content from the week of September 21, 2026, including Meta vs. Amazon, GM bending the knee to CarPlay, and profiling the profiler.

stratechery.com/2026/begun-the-aggregator-wars…
stratechery.com2026.39: Begun, the Aggregator Wars HaveThe best Stratechery content from the week of September 21, 2026, including Meta vs. Amazon, GM bending the knee to CarPlay, and profiling the profiler.
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Sam Lessin Finds Hedge Fund Quarterly Letters Worth Reading

Investor Sam Lessin says he is reading hedge fund quarterly letters for the first time to understand how managers view the current moment. He notes that funds up about 30% in the quarter tend to discuss small businesses.

Original post · 1 min read
For the first time i can remember i am reading all the hedge fund quarterly letters because i am truly interested in how they are thinking about the moment... some are quite good. the ones up 30% on the quarter do like taking about small businesses.
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Simionato Says Airtable Acquisition Shows Rapid Product Iteration

Federico Simionato says his company acquired Airtable 21 days ago, started product work 15 days ago, and has shipped 15 improvements, jokingly raising concerns about enshittification.

Original post · 1 min read
we acquired Airtable 21 days ago

started working on the product 15 days ago

just shipped 15 improvements

“enshittification” 🤔🤔🤔
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Reputation Adviser Jen Prosek Discusses How Citadel Rebuilt Its Image

Reputation Adviser Jen Prosek Discusses How Citadel Rebuilt Its Image▶

Molly O'Shea shares a clip and a promotional post in which PR adviser Jen Prosek credits Ken Griffin with transforming Citadel's reputation from a feared quant shop into a respected Wall Street brand. The post also promotes a discussion on how financial and tech firms manage their reputations.

Original post · 1 min read
Citadel went from being called “the gulag” to one of the most respected brands on Wall Street.

“They went from this reputation of the worst place to work, quant trading, black boxy, etc, to so well-respected.”

Jen credits Ken Griffin with taking “the brand and the reputation by the wheel.”

“I'm gonna get out there. I'm gonna showcase not just what Citadel does, but my smarts in policy and politics and economics.”

“I would've never thought Citadel would have the Instagram they have. It's all happy, smiley people going to work.”

“I really think they've shifted their reputation.”

@ProsekPR
Molly O’Shea @MollySOShea
NEW: How the World's Biggest Financial Firms + Tech Co's Build & Protect Their Brands

"75%+ of negative stories start w/ employees"

Ken Griffin & Citadel, Ray Dalio & Bridgewater, Blackstone, Apollo, Meta, Jensen, Elon

$70 TRILLION in client AUM
$17M in fees from ONE podcast

Now a nine-figure business ($175M in revenue !!) Jen @ProsekPR has spent 20+ years advising the most powerful firms & financiers across private markets, asset management, banking, VC & tech on how to build, protect & repair their reputations.

We sat down at @NYSE to break down:
› When to fight bad press vs. stay quiet…
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Menlo Ventures Partner Recalls Early Anthropic Investment

Hank Couture notes that Venky Ganesan, a partner at Menlo Ventures, wrote a thoughtful piece on venture capital, and points out Menlo invested in Anthropic early, when it was pre-revenue in 2023. The post praises the essay as a great read.

Original post · 1 min read
Great read. Venky is a partner at Menlo Ventures. Menlo invested in Anthropic quite early, pre-revenue back in 2023
Venky Ganesan @venkyganesan
A few thoughts on the current state of venture capital.

When the Music Is Playing

In July 2007, a few weeks before the credit markets seized up, Chuck Prince, then the CEO of Citigroup, gave an interview to the Financial Times. The line everyone remembers is this one: "As long as the music is playing, you've got to get up and dance." He was mocked for it for years afterward, and he lost his job a few months later. But I have come to think he was saying something honest. He wasn't claiming the music would play forever. He was admitting that he couldn't sit down while it was still going, and n…
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Ashlee Vance Praises Emergent Ventures' Impact in India

Ashlee Vance says it is hard to describe the effect Emergent Ventures is having on India, quoting Tyler Cowen's announcement of the 19th India cohort. The post links to a Marginal Revolution update.

Original post · 1 min read
It's hard to put into words the effect Emergent Ventures is having on India
tylercowen @tylercowen
Emergent Ventures India, 19th cohort: marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026…
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